Could Democrats lose control of California? | BBC Americast

California's Democrats Face Unexpected Headwinds As Primary Voting Begins

Earlier today, ballots opened across California in a primary that could reshape the future of the world's fourth-largest economy. With more than 40 million residents and home to Silicon Valley's giants, the Golden State has long been a Democratic stronghold. Yet, as the BBC's Americast noted in its latest dispatch, the party's biggest names are conspicuously absent from the contest to succeed Governor Gavin Newsom.

A Vacuum At The Top

Newsom's term limits mean he cannot run again, opening the door for fresh leadership. Normally, ambitious Democrats would be queuing up. Instead, the field feels thin. Analysts point to national polarisation, the sheer cost of campaigning in such a vast state, and fears that a bruising primary could expose divisions over housing, crime and the cost of living.

This morning, early voters in Los Angeles and San Francisco reported queues that were shorter than expected. One polling station in Sacramento saw turnout barely above 15 percent by midday — unusually low for a state that prides itself on civic engagement.

Economic Powerhouse Under Pressure

California's GDP still dwarfs that of most nations, yet residents face acute challenges. Homelessness remains visible on the streets of major cities, while high taxes and strict regulations have prompted some tech firms to expand elsewhere. These domestic headaches appear to be deterring star candidates who might otherwise relish the chance to lead.

Labour MPs in Westminster have been watching closely. Several backbenchers told me last night that California's struggles offer a cautionary tale for any government promising rapid green growth without addressing immediate housing shortages.

What Happens Next

The primary winner will face a Republican challenger in November. Should the Democrats stumble, it would mark the first time in decades that the state's governorship slipped from their grasp. Such an outcome would reverberate far beyond Sacramento, influencing everything from climate policy to trade deals that matter to British exporters.

As polls close this evening, attention will turn to whether turnout recovers and whether any late surge can restore confidence in the party's California machine.

Source: BBC News via YouTube — 2026-05-15T16:00:19+00:00.